NewsFutures Prediction Market

	Which party will win?

	62%	38%

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Closing Time: 8/22/08 7:00 PM

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World

Avian Flu

• Will avian flu reach the EU before the US?

87% likely

Hungarian Politics

• Ferenc Gyurcsany still Hugarian PM in December 2008?

57% likely

Iran

• Will the USA or the UN attack Iran before winter, 2008 ?

13% likely

Iraq

• Will U.S. Troops begin leaving Iraq soon?		1% likely
• Will Nouri al-Maliki remain Prime Minister of Iraq?		89% likely

War on Terrorism

• Next attack: USA or European Union?		13% likely
• Will Bush get Bin Laden?		9% likely
• Will President Bush prevent another attack on U.S. soil?		14% likely

Nation

Iraq

• Will U.S. Troops begin leaving Iraq soon?		1% likely
• Will Nouri al-Maliki remain Prime Minister of Iraq?		89% likely

Presidential Job Performance

• Will President Bush's approval rating go up in September?

15% likely

Supreme Court

• Will Roe v Wade be overturned?		19% likely
• A New Justice for the cause?		3% likely

The Valerie Plame Affair

• Scooter Libby pardonned by President Bush?		73% likely
• Will Karl Rove be indicted?		10% likely

TIME Person of the Year

• Will TIME's person of the year be human?		98% likely
• Will TIME's person of the year be Barack Obama?		63% likely
• Will TIME's person of the year be american?		81% likely
• Will TIME's person of the year be a woman?		13% likely

U.S. Gas Prices

• Will the National Unleaded Average price per gallon hit $4.20 by Sept.?		1% likely
• Will gas prices increase this week (8/18-8/24), from $3.740?		5% likely

Washington

• Will Cheney resign during his 2nd term?		1% likely
• Will President Bush be impeached?		2% likely
• Will the Democrats retain control of the Senate?		96% likely

Weather

• Will there be more than 9 named Atlantic Hurricanes this year?		29% likely
• Will there be more than 14 named Atlantic storms this year?		79% likely

Election 2008

Campaign 2008 Primaries

• Two white guys on GOP ticket?		90% likely
• Brokered Party Convention?		2% likely
• Obama to pick a woman as running mate?		30% likely

Campaign 2008: Democratic Nomination

• Will Al Gore be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Barack Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		98% likely
• Will Bill Richardson be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Hillary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		2% likely
• Will John Edwards be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely

Campaign 2008: General Election

• Will the Democratic Nominee win the White House in 2008?		62% likely
• Will the Presidential winner be popular?		75% likely

Campaign 2008: Republican Nomination

• Will Fred Thompson be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Mike Huckabee be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Mitt Romney be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Rudolph Giuliani be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Ron Paul be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely

Entertainment

60th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards

• Will TWO and a HALF MEN win the Emmy for Out. Com. Series?		1% likely
• Will THE OFFICE win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?		50% likely
• Will HOUSE win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?		68% likely
• Will LOST win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?		50% likely
• Will JOHN ADAMS win the Emmy for Outstanding Miniseries?		60% likely
• Will TIN MAN win the Emmy for Outstanding Miniseries?		50% likely
• Will TOP CHEF win the Emmy for Out. Reality/Comp. Prog.?		50% likely
• Will DANCING w/ STARS win the Emmy for Out. Reality/Comp. Prog.?		75% likely
• Will AMERICAN IDOL win the Emmy for Out. Reality/Comp. Prog.?		50% likely
• Will AMAZING RACE win the Emmy for Out. Reality/Comp. Prog.?		50% likely
• Will PROJECT RUNWAY win the Emmy for Out. Reality/Comp. Prog.?		50% likely

Births

• Will French President Sarkozy be a dad of a new baby before summer, 2009?

31% likely

Marriages

• Will Albert of Monaco marry before the Autumn 2008		1% likely
• Will Prince William of Great Britain marry before the Spring 2009 ?		17% likely
• Will French President Sarkozy divorce again before the end of his mandate?		12% likely

Challenges

Higgs' Particle

• Will CERN find the 'god particle' first?

73% likely

Human-Aid Foresight

• Will Human-Aid get a seat at the table?

9% likely

Space

• Will Spirit rove farther than Opportunity?

17% likely

Tech

Microsoft - Software

• Windows 7 before May 2010 ?

60% likely

Selected Highlights
Campaign 2008 Primaries The GOP presidential ticket will be 2 white guys		Invest in this outcome or its opposite

8,668 contracts held!

Campaign 2008 Primaries Obama will pick a woman as his running mate		Invest in this outcome or its opposite

6,819 contracts held!

Campaign 2008: General Election A Democrat will be elected President in 2008		Invest in this outcome or its opposite

167,807 contracts held!