NewsFutures Prediction Market

	Democratic Nominee?

	1%	99%

World

Avian Flu

• Will avian flu reach the EU before the US?

87% likely

Hungarian Politics

• Ferenc Gyurcsany still Hugarian PM in December 2008?

70% likely

Iran

• Will the USA or the UN attack Iran before winter, 2008 ?

17% likely

Iraq

• Will U.S. Troops begin leaving Iraq soon?		3% likely
• Will Nouri al-Maliki remain Prime Minister of Iraq?		88% likely

War on Terrorism

• Next attack: USA or European Union?		13% likely
• Will Bush get Bin Laden?		8% likely
• Will President Bush prevent another attack on U.S. soil?		19% likely

Nation

Iraq

• Will U.S. Troops begin leaving Iraq soon?		3% likely
• Will Nouri al-Maliki remain Prime Minister of Iraq?		88% likely

Presidential Job Performance

• Will President Bush's approval rating go up in August?

17% likely

Supreme Court

• Will Roe v Wade be overturned?		34% likely
• A New Justice for the cause?		8% likely

The Valerie Plame Affair

• Scooter Libby pardonned by President Bush?		70% likely
• Will Karl Rove be indicted?		10% likely

TIME Person of the Year

• Will TIME's person of the year be human?		82% likely
• Will TIME's person of the year be Barack Obama?		61% likely
• Will TIME's person of the year be american?		71% likely
• Will TIME's person of the year be a woman?		15% likely

U.S. Gas Prices

• Will the National Unleaded Average price per gallon hit $4.20 by Sept.?		12% likely
• Will gas prices increase this week (7/21-7/27), from $4.064?		50% likely

Washington

• Will Cheney resign during his 2nd term?		4% likely
• Will President Bush be impeached?		2% likely
• Will the Democrats retain control of the Senate?		96% likely

Weather

• Will there be more than 9 named Atlantic Hurricanes this year?		45% likely
• Will there be more than 14 named Atlantic storms this year?		70% likely

Election 2008

Campaign 2008 Primaries

• Two white guys on GOP ticket?		83% likely
• Brokered Party Convention?		2% likely
• Obama to pick a woman as running mate?		26% likely

Campaign 2008: Democratic Nomination

• Will Al Gore be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Barack Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		99% likely
• Will Bill Richardson be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Hillary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will John Edwards be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely

Campaign 2008: General Election

• Will the Democratic Nominee win the White House in 2008?		65% likely
• Will the Presidential winner be popular?		78% likely

Campaign 2008: Republican Nomination

• Will Fred Thompson be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Mike Huckabee be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Mitt Romney be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Rudolph Giuliani be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely
• Will Ron Paul be the Republian Presidential Nominee in 2008?		1% likely

Entertainment

Births

• Will French President Sarkozy be a dad of a new baby before summer, 2009?

24% likely

Marriages

• Will Albert of Monaco marry before the Autumn 2008		1% likely
• Will Prince William of Great Britain marry before the Spring 2009 ?		5% likely
• Will French President Sarkozy divorce again before the end of his mandate?		11% likely

Challenges

Higgs' Particle

• Will CERN find the 'god particle' first?

74% likely

Human-Aid Foresight

• Will Human-Aid get a seat at the table?

9% likely

Space

• Will Spirit rove farther than Opportunity?

19% likely

Tech

Microsoft - Software

• Windows 7 before May 2010 ?

57% likely

Selected Highlights
Campaign 2008 Primaries The GOP presidential ticket will be 2 white guys		Invest in this outcome or its opposite

7,695 contracts held!

Campaign 2008 Primaries Obama will pick a woman as his running mate		Invest in this outcome or its opposite

5,475 contracts held!

Campaign 2008: General Election A Democrat will be elected President in 2008		Invest in this outcome or its opposite

147,777 contracts held!